A. Russian inspiration
For attentive observers of influence operations, it is now evident that “China has been
studying Russian activities for quite a number of years and learning from its experiences.
They are getting better than the Russians in many ways.”14 The PLA, for instance, explicitly
endorsed this “model”.15
10. Lea Gabrielle (GEC coordinator), “Briefing with Special Envoy Lea Gabrielle, Global Engagement Center
Update on PRC Efforts to Push Disinformation and Propaganda around COVID,” US Department of State (8 May
2020).
11. Jake Wallis et al., Retweeting through the great firewall: A persistent and undeterred threat actor, ASPI Policy Brief Report
No. 33/2020, Jun. 2020, 5.
12. Gabrielle, “Briefing with Special Envoy.”
13. Camille François, “Moving Beyond Fears of the ‘Russian Playbook,’” Lawfare (15 Sept. 2020).
14. J. Michael Cole, “A Conversation about China’s Sharp Power and Taiwan,” Brookings Institution (11 Sept.
2018), 3.
15. The argument can be made that this amounts to a “return” to this model because the CCP had been influenced
by the Soviet model: Elizabeth Chen, “China Learning From Russia’s ‘Emerging Great Power’ Global Media Tactics,”
The Jamestown Foundation (12 Apr. 2021).
622
For the PLA: Russia is a model to emulate
For its experience manipulating social networks, at least since the annexation of
Crimea in 2014 (closely followed in China, by the PLA notably), Russia “provided China
with a model to emulate.”16 In 2014, a member of the PLA General Staff Department
wrote an article drawing three lessons from the “war on [the Russian] public opinion”
in Ukraine:17 “take the offensive by pushing your narrative first, present legal argu-
ments, and back it up with hard power”18 Several similar articles were published after-
ward, which testified to a clear willingness, on the part of the Chinese military, to learn
from the Russian precedent.19
In 2018, an article investigating RT’s coverage of the American bombings in Syria recom-
mended an “investigation of RT’s communication methods [:] without losing its ‘objectiv-
ity,’ we can silently influence the emotions and inclinations of the public and make it more
dependent on information from our media outlets.”20 RT has regularly been quoted as a
model to emulate in publications of the Chinese military, especially for its activities on
social networks. Indeed, analysts from the PLA National Defense University compared the
Russian channel to “a propaganda aircraft carrier,” stressing its performance on YouTube.21
Another article published in 2018 insisted on “RT’s value for disinformation, reflecting a shift
in the PLA’s discussion of offensive uses of social media.”22-23 Actually, it was the first “pos-
itive and detailed evaluation”24 of the Russian interference in the 2016 U.S. presidential
campaign. The article highlighted how “Russia’s bots improved the effectiveness and lowered
the costs of propaganda, and that RT spread disinformation on social media to confuse peo-
ple.”25 Several months later, another article showed admiration for the way RT exploited
divisions within Western societies, suggesting China should do the same: “we can also
make full use of the latent contradictions between different countries and the influence of op-
position factions within Western countries to prevent enemies from coming together to form
an anti-China front, and to emphasize how its interminable conflicts and difficulty in reaching
consensus contrast with our unity.”26
16. Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga and Michael S. Chase, Borrowing a Boat Out to Sea: The Chinese Military’s Use of
Social Media for Influence Operations, Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, Foreign Policy Institute,
Policy Papers (2019), 36.
17. 朱宁宁 (Zhu Ningning), “乌 克兰政局动荡中俄对乌舆论战谋略运用探析” (“An Analysis of Russia’s
Unfolding Media Warfare Tactics Amid the Turbulent Political Situation in Ukraine”), 军事记者 (Military Correspondent),
5 (2014).
18. Beauchamp-Mustafaga and Chase, Borrowing a Boat Out to Sea, 36.
19. 李桥铭 (Li Qiaoming), “从俄罗斯两场战事看现代战争新发展” (“Analysis of Modern Warfare
Development Based on Russia’s Two Conflicts”), 解放军报 (PLA Daily) (16 Aug. 2016); 邓秀梅 (Deng Xiumei),
严振华 (Yan Zhenhua) and 张佳璐 (Zhang Jiayu), “乌克兰危机中的社交媒体战” (“The Social Media War in the
Ukrainian Crisis”), 解放军报 (PLA Daily) (25 Sept. 2015).
20. 刘力铭 (Liu Liming), “在突发军事行动中抢占舆 论主导权: 以CNN和RT对美国空袭叙利亚的报道为
例” (“Seizing Control of Public Opinion Guidance in Sudden Military Operations: Taking CNN and RT’s Reporting
on U.S. Airstrikes on Syria as an Example”), 军事记者 (Military Correspondent) (26 Sept. 2018).
21. 马建光 (Ma Jianguang), 张秀波 (Zhang Xiubo) and 张乃千 (Zhang Naiqian), “俄罗斯布防网络媒 体新阵
地” (“Russia’s New Front for Defending Internet Media”), 中国军 (China Military Online) (13 Apr. 2016).
22. 马超 (Ma Chao) and 孙皓 (Sun Hao), “俄罗斯对外舆论传播的特点: 以’今日俄罗斯’电视 台为列” (“The
Characteristics of Russian Public Opinion Propagation: Taking ‘Russia Today’ TV Station as an Example”), 军事记
者 (Military Correspondent) (14 Jun. 2018).
23. Beauchamp-Mustafaga and Chase, Borrowing a Boat Out to Sea, 38.
24. Ibid., 94.
25. Ibid., 95.
26. 刘力铭 (Liu Liming), “在突发军事行动中抢占舆 论主导权: 以CNN和RT对美国空袭叙利亚的报道为
例” (“Seizing Control of Public Opinion Guidance in Sudden Military Operations: Taking CNN and RT’s Reporting
on U.S. Airstrikes on Syria as an Example”).
623
Before assessing to what extent Moscow might have inspired Beijing, we need to empha-
size that they have mutually inspired each other. On some elements, Moscow is actu-
ally taking cues from Beijing. This is the case, for instance, of the policies targeting the
diaspora. “The second-biggest diaspora in the world, after the Chinese,”27 is the Russian,
and they both adopted a similarly wide and homogenous conception of the diaspora.
Indeed, the manner Beijing conceives “overseas Chinese,” both its nationals but also peo-
ple of Chinese descent whatever their citizenship may be (ethnic nationalism → p. 165),
is similar to the way Russia perceives its “compatriots abroad”: not solely the Russians
strictly speaking, but also Russian speakers that share a common history and culture. As
Mikhail Suslov noted, “the Russian diaspora is not a diaspora in the strict sense, and nor is
it ‘Russian.’ This ‘Russian’ diaspora is in fact a post-Soviet diaspora, its homeland no longer
in existence.”28 In both cases, the extension of the “subjects” over which these states claim,
if not sovereignty, at least some form of control, is very broad. They also tend to conceive
these diasporas as a homogeneous bloc, which is obviously not the case, primarily because
they include a significant proportion of dissidents. In any case, the regimes try to homog-
enize them, with varying degrees of effectiveness. In that case, Russia is actually doing
less well than China. Indeed, “the Russian political elite has been aware of the potential
of the ‘Russian compatriots,’ but at the same time its ways of relating to them are awkward
and confusing.”29 Here, Russia is the one taking heeds from China, as the president of the
French Coordination Council of Russian Compatriots admitted.30
Now, Beijing emulates the Russians in a number of ways:
• 1) In leading clandestine informational operations on Western social networks
(Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube), using trolls, fake accounts, and bots. Freedom House
noted that one of the main evolutions of the Chinese informational operations
since 2017 has been the development of “Russian-style social media disinforma-
tion campaigns.”31 They seemingly debuted “as early as mid-2017” (the earliest such
operation was presumably launched in April 2017)32 and grew more intense in 2019 when
the Chinese government extended those methods to Western platforms: “[until] the 2019
protests in Hong Kong, most evidence of Chinese computational propaganda occurred
on domestic platforms such as Weibo, WeChat, and QQ. But China’s new-found interest
in aggressively using Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube should raise concerns for democ-
racies.”33 The 2019 campaign in Hong Kong was a test: “Beijing began experimenting
27. Mikhail Suslov, “Russian World”: Russia’s Policy Toward its Diaspora, Russie. Nei.Visions 103, French Institute of
International Relations (IFRI) (Jul. 2017), 5.
28. Ibid., 10; see also: Andis Kudors, “‘Russian World’ – Russia’s Soft Power Approach to Compatriots Policy,”
Russian Analytical Digest, 81 (2010), 2-4.
29. Suslov, Russian World, 5.
30. Quoted in Maxime Audinet, Une fabrique étatique du soft power: acteurs et pratiques de l’influence par la diplomatie publique
en Russie post-soviétique (The State’s Construction of Soft Power: Actors and Influence Methods in the Public Diplomacy
in Post-Soviet Russia), Ph.D. Thesis in Political Science, University Paris Nanterre (10 Sept. 2020), 235.
31. Sarah Cook, Beijing’s Global Megaphone: The Expansion of Chinese Communist Party Media Influence Since 2017, Freedom
House special report (Jan. 2020), 2.
32. Tom Uren, Elise Thomas, and Jacob Wallis, Tweeting Through the Great Firewall: Preliminary Analysis of PRC-linked
Information Operations Against the Hong Kong Protests, ASPI, Report No. 25 (2019), 29.
33. Samantha Bradshaw and Philipp N. Howard, The Global Disinformation Order: 2019 Global Inventory of Organised
Social Media Manipulation, Computational Propaganda Research Project, Oxford Internet Institute, Oxford University,
https://bit.ly/3cDVvbe.
624
with covert information operations on Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube, using false per-
sonas and pages that aimed to discredit the protesters by portraying them as violent.”34
Since 2019 (Hong Kong), and especially 2020 (pandemic), a consensus has emerged
to recognize that China is engaged in aggressive and clandestine “Russian-style”
campaigns. Since 2020, many investigations have shown “that pro-Beijing actors are
carrying out a whole range of covert activities in multiple countries and languages. The
campaigns aim to spread proven falsehoods, sow societal discord and panic, manip-
ulate perceptions of public opinion, or undermine the democratic process.”35 As for
now, these campaigns have mostly targeted China’s near abroad (Taiwan, Hong
Kong), Australia and the United States. From this perspective, Europeans – who are
battered by more visible Russian campaigns36 – may still be underestimating the threat
of Chinese information manipulations. And yet, it is obvious that, without matching the
intensity and sophistication of Russian efforts, China is bound to develop its operations
targeting Europe or a European country in the informational domain.
• 2) In investing massively, openly, and aggressively in social networks, as illus-
trated by the “Twitterization” of diplomats participating in the “wolf warrior diplo-
macy” – something Russian authorities were already doing.
• 3) In widening the reach of warfare beyond the sole diasporas. Traditionally – and
this was a classical difference between the approach of Beijing and Moscow – the United
Front concentrated its efforts on monitoring and surveilling overseas Chinese in Western
countries, i.e. suppressing dissidents, constructing the narrative circulated in Chinese-
language media outlets, and mobilizing the largest possible number of individuals to act
in conformity with the Party’s interests. However, during the last decade (2010-2020), the
targets of the United Front have expanded to include, among others, the non-Chinese
political, entrepreneurial, media and academic elites of targeted countries, as noted in
the online version of the People’s Daily: the main targets have been “individuals who are
representative due to their political influence, economic power, social position,
and high academic status, as well leaders of communities.”37
The extension of the domain of struggle is particularly visible in the media landscape,
where Beijing has evolved from a focus on international outlets in China and its imme-
diate environment (Hong Kong, Taiwan) ten years ago to an attempt at influencing
and censoring media outlets everywhere in the world nowadays. It has used, espe-
cially after 2017, “tactics that were once used primarily to co-opt Chinese diaspora
media and suppress critical coverage in overseas Chinese-language publications are
now being applied – with some effect – to local mainstream media in various coun-
tries.”38
34. Laura Rosenberger, “China’s Coronavirus Information Offensive,” Foreign Affairs (22 Apr. 2020).
35. Sarah Cook, “Welcome to the New Era of Chinese Disinformation,” China Media Bulletin (May 2020), 2.
36. Martin Svárovský, Jakub Janda and Veronika Víchová, Handbook on Countering Russian and Chinese Interference in
Europe, European Values et Konrad Adenauer Stiftung (2019), 15.
37. Original text in Chinese: “海外统一战线工作对象是台湾同胞、港澳同胞、国外侨胞及一切热爱 中华
民族的人们。重点是政治上有影响、经济上有实力、社会上有声望,学术上有造诣的代表性人士 和社团
领袖,” in “海外统一战线工作” (“Work from Overseas United Front”), 人民网 (The People’s Daily Online), https://
archive.vn/xLRQI. Quoted in Clive Hamilton, “Chinese Communist Party Influence in Australian Universities,”
lecture at the University of Queensland, Brisbane (28 Aug. 2019).
38. Cook, Beijing’s Global Megaphone, 2.
625
• 4) In switching from a positive narrative on itself to a negative narrative on the
others. Beijing’s objective is no longer solely to promote a positive narrative and to pre-
vent the circulation of negative representations on China: in Italy and Serbia during the
pandemic, for instance (→ p. 591), a critical (and, in that case, unwarranted) narrative on
the EU was added. In fact, we observe more and more cases where Beijing is “seeking
to manipulate conversations even on topics not directly related to China,”39 which
is a recent development. The Party-State is acting gradually, blurring the line between
its defensive and offensive objectives.40 It is not always easy to understand when the
country is defending itself and when it is being offensive, contrary to the Kremlin, which
endorses more openly the offensive character of its operations. In any case, Beijing is
“seeing the need not just to defend its own system publicly but to unleash open criticism
of ’western democracy’ through its officials and propaganda machinery rather than con-
fining this language to internal Party documents and speeches.”41
• 5) In trying to divide and sow discord in target countries, as illustrated by the several
operations launched against the United States, including a campaign of text messages
meant to create a panic in March 2020 (→ p. 392). On that matter, “American officials
said China, borrowing from Russia’s strategies, has been trying to widen political divi-
sions in the United States.”42 The United States is no exception: other examples in this
report highlighted how Beijing tried to divide Canada, Europe, South Korea or Japan. In
trying to seduce discontent individuals, those who believe they have been left on the
sidelines – such as Canadian First Nations (→ p. 583) or separatist movements, in Japan
for instance (→ p. 401) –, Beijing has adopted a method commonly used by Moscow,
which has not refrained from endorsing protesters in some countries (the Yellow Vests
in France for instance).43
In a previous report, we noted that the divisions used by Moscow were not only inter-
nal to a country (to fracture its society) but also external, stirring up tensions between
neighboring states and allies.44 Several examples in this report showed that Beijing has
also tried to divide Europe, the transatlantic relation, and the U.S.-Canadian rela-
tionship, among others.
• 6) In interfering with elections. As noted earlier (→ p. 268), China interfered in at
least a dozen elections in Asia, Australasia, and in North America. In the United States,
APT31, also known as Zirconium, a group of hackers backed by the Chinese state, tried
to penetrate the emails of the Biden campaign in a manner (fishing) similar to
the hack that allowed GRU officers to conduct the DNC Leaks operation against
39. Sarah Cook, “Recent Wins and Defeats for Beijing’s Global Media Influence Campaign,” China Media Bulletin
(Nov. 2020), p. 4.
40. Michael J. Mazarr et al., Hostile Social Manipulation: Present Realities and Emerging Trends, RAND Corporation, 2019,
p. 164-165.
41. Andrew Small and Dhruva Jaishankar, “‘For Our Enemies, We Have Shotguns’: Explaining China’s New
Assertiveness,” War on the Rocks (20 Jul. 2020).
42. Edward Wong, Matthew Rosenberg, and Julian E. Barnes, “Chinese Agents Helped Spread Messages that
Sowed Virus Panic in U.S., Officials Say,” The New York Times (22 Apr. 2020).
43. Colin Gérard, Guilhem Marotte and Loqman Salamatian, “RT, Sputnik et le mouvement des Gilets jaunes:
cartographie des communautés politiques sur Twitter” (“RT, Sputnik, and the Yellow Vests Movement: Mapping
Political Communities on Twitter”), L’Espace politique, 40, 1 (2020).
44. Jean-Baptiste Jeangène Vilmer, Alexandre Escorcia, Marine Guillaume, and Janaina Herrera, Information
Manipulation: A Challenge for Our Democracies, Report from the Centre for Analysis, Planning and Strategy at the French
Ministry of Foreign Affairs (CAPS) and the Institute for Strategic Research at the Military School (IRSEM) of the
Ministry of the Armed Forces, Paris (Aug. 2018), 70.
626
Hillary Clinton four years earlier.45 Here, China follows Russia’s lead, seemingly posi-
tioning itself as a copycat – even though it would not go as far because, as usual, it hacks
but does not leak. A report of the National Intelligence Council (NIC) stated that, con-
trary to Russia, Beijing did not try to interfere or to influence the 2020 U.S. presidential
election for different reasons, including the fact that opposition to Beijing is bipartisan
in Washington – there was no pro-China option in the electoral field. That said, in the
same report, the officer dealing with cyber questions added a “minority opinion” accord-
ing to which Beijing still tried to harm the Trump candidacy through actions on social
networks and in the media, but “calibrated its influence efforts to avoid blowback” in a
manner that still qualified as “electoral influence.”46
• 7) In circulating conspiracy theories, via official (diplomatic) channels for instance,
as was saw during the Covid-19 pandemic. An article published in a PLA magazine in
2018 suggested that conspiracy theories should be spread out in Western media outlets
if China were to be losing the battle for public opinions. According to its author, a stu-
dent from the department of public opinion warfare at the National Defense University,
Beijing “should cultivate a group of media outlets and think tanks having a
small ‘grey’ audience to spread lies and create a database of negative topics and
conspiracy theories.”47 Doing so, it should focus more particularly on “targeting the
younger Western audiences’ distrust of mainstream media, politicians, and even val-
ues.”48 Likewise, it could use “official channels to amplify conspiracy theories and to
sow doubt about established facts in the context of major political events […], a tactic
often used by Moscow.”49 “China’s recent promotion of known conspiracy websites is
another move taken from the Russian playbook.”50
• 8) In using its near abroad as a testing ground before launching operations world-
wide: Moscow tested its methods during the color revolutions of the mid-2000s, in Georgia
(2008), and Ukraine (2014), before it turned them against Western democracies. Similarly,
Beijing started its operations in Taiwan and Hong Kong before widening their reach glob-
ally, including in (but not limited to) Australia, Canada, the United States and Europe.
From Argentina to Denmark, everyone can see a globalization of Chinese operations.
• 9) In subcontracting portions of its informational operations to intermediaries.
The frequent use, on the Chinese side, of content farms (→ p. 367) that are outsourced
in Malaysia or elsewhere echoes the Russian troll farms, some of which are based abroad
(such as the troll farm uncovered by Graphika in the suburbs of Accra, in Ghana).51
• 10) In moving closer to political radicals. The ties between the Chinese embassy
in Sweden, the nationalist far-right party Alternativ för Sverige and the Schiller Institute
45. David E. Sanger and Nicole Perlroth, “Chinese Hackers Target Email Accounts of Biden Campaign Staff,
Google Says,” The New York Times (4 Jun. 2020); Tom Burt, “New Cyberattacks Targeting U.S. Elections,” Microsoft.
com (10 Sept. 2020).
46. NIC, Foreign Threats to the 2020 US Federal Elections (10 Mar. 2021), declassified version published on March 15,
2021, p. 8, https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/assessments/ICA-declass-16MAR21.pdf.
47. 刘力铭 (Liu Liming), “叙利亚内战中美俄的舆论博弈 与启示” (“Insights and the Public Opinion Game
Between the U.S. and Russia in Syria’s Civil War”), 军事记者 (Military Correspondent) (Dec. 2018).
48. Beauchamp-Mustafaga and Chase, Borrowing a Boat Out to Sea, 95.
49. Jessica Brandt and Bret Schafer, “Five Things to Know About Beijing’s Disinformation Approach,” Alliance
for Securing Democracy, GMF (30 Mar. 2020); see also: Ilya Yablokov, “Social networks of Death: Conspiracy Panics
and Professional Journalistic Ethics in the Post-Soviet Russia,” Quaderni, 94/3 (2017), 53-62.
50. Rosenberger, “China’s Coronavirus Information Offensive.”
51. Ben Nimmo et al., IRA in Ghana: Double Deceit, Graphika (Mar. 2020).
627
(with its sulfurous reputation) startled observers. The same occurred in France when the
CCP-affiliated People Daily used Damien Viguier to discredit the coverage of China by Le
Monde. Viguier, who had been condemned for his denial of crimes against humanity,52
is the lawyer of the far-right ideologist Alain Soral.53 Likewise, Egalité et réconciliation, the
association founded by Alain Soral, relayed the Chinese conspiracy theory according to
which the coronavirus would have its origin in the American laboratory of Fort Detrick
(→ p. 589).54 Last but not least, the Chinese embassy in Paris promoted a book on Uyghurs
written by the far-left administrator of a website that has “repeatedly relayed conspiracy
theories” (→ p. 335).55 Examples elsewhere are legions, such as in Italy where Beijing has
grown closer to the far-right.56 According to an April 2021 report from the Soufan Center,
as of March 2020 China was the state actor “most involved in amplifying QAnon
narratives on Facebook,” ahead of Russia. Between January 1 and February 28, 2021,
for example, 58% of QAnon posts on Facebook would have originated in China, while
less than half would have originated in Russia. The report concludes that “China’s goal,
most likely, is to sow further discord and division among the American population.”57 If
the precise data is to be taken cautiously, as the methodology of the report has been ques-
tioned (the exact origin of the operators of the Facebook accounts involved are unver-
ifiable except by Facebook itself58) the very involvement of Chinese state actors in the
amplification of QAnon stories remains plausible. Facebook, like Twitter and Google, has
reported manipulations of Chinese origin on several occasions and, as we have seen, some
of these manipulations were indeed aimed at increasing divisions within the U.S. society.
This relatively new tendency is another symptom of the Russification of Chinese attitudes
(and diplomatic practice) as the country no longer refrains from displaying itself with local
extremes, something Russia has done for a long time.
Yet, the motivations are different: in general, people aligning themselves with China
are motivated by financial gains, more than by a convergence of views or inter-
ests; while Russia benefits from a genuine ideological proximity with those groups
(pro-traditions, pro-sovereignty, anti-European feelings, etc.). That said, China’s conduct
in the Xinjiang – putting a million Muslims in concentration camps as part of an ethnic
cleansing or even genocide – may seduce some far-right fringes.
Some anti-Semitic signals in the Chinese discourse must probably be interpreted in
the context of this rapprochement with the political extremes. Not only some of the
relays of this discourse have been notoriously conspiratorial and anti-Semitic websites,
such as the one Larry Romanoff had as early as 2010 (→ p. 608); but some Chinese
diplomats, journalists and influencers have recently made some disturbing references.
On May 24, 2020, the Embassy of China in France published on its Twitter account a
52. Olivia Dufour, “Non, l’immunité de l’avocat n’est pas totale” (“No, a Lawyer’s Immunity is Not Without
Limits”), Gazette du Palais, 16 (23 Apr. 2019), 5.
53. “French Lawyer Condemns Le Monde’s Stigmatization of China,” People’s Daily Online (3 Apr. 2020), https://
archive.vn/6iGfs.
54. “Pékin contre-attaque: le laboratoire militaire américain de Fort Detrick à l’origine du Covid?” (“Beijing
strikes back: the US military laboratory at Fort Detrick is the source of Covid”) (from: voltairenet.org), Egalité et
réconciliation, June 29, 2021 (https://archive.vn/uNwtp).
55. https://www.conspiracywatch.info/le-grand-soir.
56. Martin Svárovský, Jakub Janda, and Veronika Víchová, Handbook on Countering Russian and Chinese Interference in
Europe, European Values et Konrad Adenauer Stiftung (2019), 16.
57. Quantifying the Q Conspiracy: A Data-Driven Approach to Understanding the Threat Posed by QAnon, The Soufan Center
(Apr. 2021), 26.
58. David Gilbert, “No, Russia and China Didn’t ‘Weaponize’ QAnon. It’s a Homegrown Nightmare,” Vice (22 Apr. 2021).
628
caricature (see below) that has largely been interpreted as conspiratorial and anti-Semitic
(the Israeli flag on the scythe of Death seemed to imply that the Israeli-American alli-
ance sawed death in a number of countries and, here, in Hong Kong) before it deleted
the message and claimed its account had been “falsified.” The explanation did not con-
vince anyone because, as Antoine Bondaz noted, the caricature continued to be “liked”
by the Embassy’s account (not to mention that it was republished in April 2021, by the
account of the Chinese embassy in Japan this time, before being deleted again – see
image below).59 Another example was also caught by Antoine Bondaz: on March 23,
2021, the journalist and writer Zheng Ruolin (郑若麟) – and “old friend” of Maxime
Vivas (→ p. 335)60 – attacked the French MEP Raphaël Glucksmann on Weibo, high-
lighting that “his whole family was Jewish,” with an image on which the star of David
was added (Glucksmann was also deemed responsible of the death of Samuel Paty,
the French teacher who was beheaded by an islamist terrorist, because he had presum-
ably “attracted Chechen refugees to France and […] a Chechen terrorist decapitated the
French professor” – see the image below).
Sources: “Chinese embassy in France says its Twitter account was ‘falsified’ after polemical tweet,” La Libre (25 May 2020);
https://www.sankei.com/article/20210430-4QVL4S364FMCTPP7KOBFEJBW7A/; https://twitter.com/AntoineBondaz/
status/1374617640598126595/photo/2.
We can add to the list the influencer Lu Kewen, author of several articles including
“How to assess the value of Jews?” (May 29, 2021), with comments on their physical
peculiarities, illustrated by a profile photo showing a characteristic nose, or “What kind
of people are today’s Jews really?” (June 28, 2021).61 In another article (August 9, 2021),
he addresses the U.S. Secretary of State, Antony Blinken, whom he reminds that he is
“Jewish” in these terms: “You, the rulers of the American Empire, the Jews who control
59. https://twitter.com/AntoineBondaz/status/1264851073929445376.
60. Thaïs Chaigne, “Qui est Maxime Vivas, ce Français qui dénonce les ‘fake news’ sur les Ouïghours et fait le
bonheur de Pékin?” (“Who is Maxime Vivas, the Frenchman who Denounces ‘Fake News’ on Uyghurs and Pleases
Beijing”), Libération (30 Mar. 2021).
61. He has 400,000 subscribers on Zhihu and 1,450,000 on bilibili. The first article is: “如何评价犹太
人?” (“How to assess the value of Jews?”), WeChat account 卢克文工作室 (29 May 2021), https://mp.weixin.
qq.com/s/CRemOpfC_0ZHgSsxtHV1Ew; the second: “今天的犹太人到底是一群什么人?” (“What kind of
people are today’s Jews really?”), WeChat account 卢克文工作室 (28 Jun. 2021), https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/
X3DcNenhxA95Wb_mRemFMg.
629
finance and the media, and the Japanese invaders of the small islands, cannot imagine
what each of us, a member of the Chinese nation, is willing to consent to in order to con-
tribute to the rebirth of this country, and how much we have accepted humiliation for so
many years, only to recover the glory of our most illustrious forefathers.”62 In May 2021,
it was CGTN’s star presenter Zheng Junfeng who drew the ire of the Israeli authorities
for explaining U.S. support for Israel by the power of Jewish lobbies in the country.63
The Israeli embassy in China reacted by saying that it showed “blatant anti-Semitism.”64
These examples are so far isolated, and nothing indicates a more widespread tendency:
China is possibly using all the levers in its hands against its enemies, in an uninhibited
discourse that no longer forbids itself anything. Yet, this lever could find an echo in sev-
eral anti-Semitic groups in Russia, in Europe, or in North America for instance.
Source: https://twitter.com/MEMRIReports/status/1395818681628778496.
• 11) In instrumentalizing the terrorist specter in discussing Uyghurs. It brandishes
the terrorist threat, but also the myth of a happy population (Chinese media circulate
many images of the happy daily life in Xinjiang), and attacks against the presumably
ignorant, lying, and interfering Western outlets – all of which “reflect many classic ele-
ments of Russian disinformation with a uniquely Chinese twist.”65
• 12) In using “gangster methods.” The examples of pressure, intimidations, aggres-
sions, arbitrary arrests, kidnappings, breaks in, hackings, sabotages that are described in
this report show that Beijing is willing to use “gangster methods,”66 in sharp contrast to
the ethos that it apparently hoped to project on the international scene – a benevolent and
pacific power – and in an attitude which is closer to the brutal image that never really
bothered Moscow.
62. The Chinese term used here (倭寇 - wokou) refers to the pirates who plundered the Chinese coasts between
the 13th and 16th centuries and who were not only ethnically Japanese but also Korean and even Chinese. The term
underwent a semantic shift in the 20th century to qualify the Japanese invader. It has an obvious depreciative connotation.
63. “布林肯的野望:围堵中国大战略” (“Blinken’s ambition: a grand strategy to encircle China”), WeChat
account 卢克文工作室 (9 Aug. 2021), https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/7XkWDQlyXbILR4SWivIMBQ.
64. https://twitter.com/IsraelinChina/status/1394653723901579264.
65. Brandt and Schafer, “Five Things to Know.”
66. Reporters Without Borders, China’s Pursuit of a New World Media Order (2019), 19.
630
Hence, to discredit “the West,” it is now obvious that Beijing has adopted the Russian
approach that Ben Nimmo summed up in 2015 as the “4Ds:”67 dismiss (“If you do not
like what your critics say, insult them”), distort (“If you do not like the facts, twist them”),
distract (“If you’re accused of something, accuse someone else of the same thing”68), and
dismay (“If you do not like what someone else is planning, scare them off.”).69
Unlike Russia, China has often been described as refraining from using aggres-
sive disinformation campaigns targeting the divisions of a society, and also as not
having a global field of intervention (only a regional sphere).70 These two elements
were the two missing pieces of a hybrid arsenal, according to the infographics of the
Ukrainian Crisis Media Center (below). But if it was true a few years ago, this is no longer
the case today, as this report shows. China now checks the two elements. In fact, it
checks all of them: China has the most comprehensive arsenal of any country.
Finally, the Russification may also be partly a Sovietization. In other words, it could
reach beyond information manipulation on social networks to a return to tradition as a
way to counter more and more frequent detections (as shown in the exponential growth
of reports on Chinese operations). Like the jihadists who use short waves to prevent the
interception of their (GSM or satellite) phone communications, the more observers scruti-
nize and denounce Chinese actions on social networks and on the Internet, the more China
could be tempted to implement disinformation on other channels. To do that, the reper-
toire of actions elaborated by the KGB’s Service A constitutes a precious source of inspi-
ration for the Chinese preparing influence operations. Bound to grow in the years ahead,
this tendency is well illustrated by the operation that we named “Infektion 2.0” which subtly
mixes disinformation on social networks and controlling front organizations.
67. Ben Nimmo, “Anatomy of an Info-War: How Russia’s Propaganda Machine Works, and How to Counter It,”
StopFake (19 May 2015).
68. An argumentative figure also kown as a metastasis.
69. https://twitter.com/benimmo/status/670230827377295360; https://twitter.com/benimmo/
status/670230827377295360.
70. “Hybrid Tactics of Russia, China and Iran,” Ukraine Crisis Media Center (22 Dec. 2020).
631
B. Some differences subsist
• 1) China has a more complete toolkit, not only because its own platforms (WeChat,
Weibo, TikTok) are used worldwide, while the Russians rely on U.S. platforms (Facebook,
Twitter, and Instagram), but also because it has real “offline” influence: “China’s online
activities frequently support offline influence operations that make extensive use of
in-person networks of human agents of influence, overtly attributed state media in
English and other non-Chinese languages, and ‘grey propaganda’ with less obviously
attributable ties to the mainland. This robust and well-resourced collection of tools
should equip China to execute integrated influence operations on a scale that Russia
cannot match.”71 Generally speaking, Beijing has many more levers than Moscow, in
particular economic ones.
• 2) China also benefits from a plethoric workforce. “Russians still rely very much
on bots, so its computers, and zombie computers that are propagating disinformation,
whereas the Chinese still seem to be using human beings, which means that the content
can react more quickly to situations. All of that is probably also augmented by cyborgs,
so basically the original information is generated by human beings, and then it is spread
by computer systems, and all that, so to saturate the environment, but one thing is sure,
is that China has a lot more people that can produce disinformation content than Russia
does.”72 This comparative advantage is however countered by the growing use
of artificial intelligence in informational operations, including in the production of
content.
• 3) Still, Russian information manipulations are more sophisticated. The Chinese
operations that have targeted Western social networks after 2017 are impressive by their
sheer number but usually hastened and of poor quality, hence easier to notice. Russians,
on the contrary, are more meticulous and have a more precise knowledge of local
media ecosystems and public opinions. Like KGB officers before them, Russians
“do ethnographic research (IRA operatives toured the United States) and ingratiate
themselves into the communities they are pretending to be members of (e.g., Black
Lives Matter activists or Texas secessionists). They put in effort to build relationships
with influencers, to ensure that authentic influential voices amplify their content.”73 The
Chinese generally learn languages but not cultures, and they lack of adaptive
capacity: “we see young people speaking the language fairly well but showing really
inappropriate behaviors,” a Swedish interlocutor told us.74 Yet, it appears that in Middle
Eastern countries (especially in Gulf states and in Algeria), Chinese diplomats not only
speak the language quite well – in both its classical and dialectal forms – but also have a
precise knowledge of local cultures.75
• 4) Russia better integrates cyber with the rest: its cyberoperations are conceived
as parts of wider campaigns of influence (such as hack-and-leak). They are used in a
sequence that brings in intelligence services, but also media outlets, as we have seen over
71. Renée Diresta et al., Telling China’s Story: The Chinese Communist Party’s Campaign to Shape Global Narratives, Stanford
Internet Cyber Policy Center, Hoover Institution (Jul. 2020), 3.
72. Cole, “A Conversation about China’s Sharp Power,” 3.
73. Diresta et al., Telling China’s Story, 44.
74. Interview with one of the authors, Stockholm (Feb. 2020).
75. Interview of the authors with Fatiha Dazi-Héni, Paris (Feb. 2021).
632
the years, especially with the DNC Leaks and the Macron Leaks.76 Beijing, however, seg-
ments its operations (cyber on one side, then the rest): Chinese cyberoperations are
numerous and sophisticated, but they are not (yet) integrated into wider informa-
tional operations despite knowing that several actors, such the MSS, have come
to master the entire process. The fusion ultimately looms ahead if the Russification
continues.
• 5) China still believes in the attractiveness of its model. As they attack Westerners,
Chinese media outlets are still mainly focused on promoting China and its model of
governance. CGTN and Xinhua do not behave like RT and Sputnik. China talks a lot
more about itself than Russia does: more than 50% of the content circulated on the
YouTube channels of CGTN and CCTV focus on China, compared to only 4% of the
content released on the YouTube channels of RT America and RT UK dealing with
Russia.77 RT France’s website does not have a Russian news tab, for example, while that
of CGTN Français even places the “China” tab first on its toolbar. In a word, Chinese
outlets are ego-centered.
• 6) Consequently, the differences are not playing in China’s favor: Russian media are
better implanted in their local ecosystems, their websites receive a lot more vis-
its, and their profiles on social networks more engagement because they deal with
French topics in the French context, for instance, and with divisive issues (unemploy-
ment, demonstrations, crimes, immigration etc.). Chinese platforms, however, usually
speak about China in France, which is less interesting to many readers. In other words,
China stands far above Russia in its artificially high number of followers on social
networks but the Russians are more efficient, more convincing. Thus, they have
comparatively more impact on social networks. It does not seem to be a Chinese pri-
ority however: they want to “demonstrate to superiors total commitment by generating
high levels of activity […] while actual efficacy or impact may be secondary.”78 As such,
the disciplinary campaign marshaled by Xi Jinping probably reinforced the propensity
of actors on the field to favor quantitative operations at the expense of real success.
Obviously, they may figure that out and make their future operations more subtle, thus
less detectable and more influential.
To sum up, Beijing has an advantage in several domains, Moscow in others, and it can
be said that “China copied Russia’s tactics […]. But it lacks Russia’s skillset.”79 It
does not mean, however, that one is less dangerous than the others, none the least because
China’s room for improvement is considerable. Furthermore, we should not confuse the
whole with the part: the Russian superiority on information manipulation is evident,
but when we account for all influence operations, the reverse is true. First, Beijing fol-
lows the same tradition (communist techniques refined all through the 20th century) and the
country is on a path to acquire the same expertise, perhaps even a better one in some areas.
Also, China’s economic might and the attractiveness of its internal market means that it is
harder to say no to. Finally, the country is both more subtle and apparently innocuous in
76. Jean-Baptiste Jeangène Vilmer, The ‘Macron Leaks’ Operation: A Post-Mortem, IRSEM/Atlantic Council (Jun.
2019).
77. Brandt and Schafer, “Five Things to Know.”
78. Diresta et al., Telling China’s Story, 44.
79. Edward Lucas, Jake Morris, and Corina Rebegea, Information Bedlam: Russian and Chinese Information Operations
During Covid-19, CEPA (Mar. 2021), 3.
633
its operations. What To wrote about the efforts directed at overseas Chinese, the qiaowu (侨
务) – i.e. “an effective tool for intensive behavioral control and manipulation, yet appearing
benign, benevolent, and helpful”80 – can apply to the entire effort of the United Front, and
to most Chinese influence operations. Finally, as Ryan Fedasiuk noted, “if the past twenty
years are any indication, foreigners should expect the CCP’s influence operations to
continue growing in size and sophistication.”81 The Party-State learns fast and it can
enjoy considerable resources at its disposal.
C. Cooperation
The Sino-Russian – or, more accurately, Sino-Soviet – cooperation on informa-
tion manipulation is not a new phenomenon. When, in 1949-1950, Soviet propaganda
accused the United States of testing biological weapons on the Inuit populations of Alaska,
this fake information was relayed by Chinese state propaganda, which asserted that the
United States was then collaborating with the former chief of the Japanese program on bio-
logical weapons, and ready to use these weapons against China. In 1952, during the Korean
War, the Soviets in turn relayed a Chinese and North Korean disinformation campaign
averring that the United States was conducting a bacteriological war by airlifting insects
infected with microorganisms carrying diseases such as the plague and cholera. Together
with the Soviets, they doctored the evidence by creating two fake zones of contamination.82
Nowadays, the Sino-Russian relationship is growing stronger. For more than a decade,
the two powers have continuously come closer as the distance with the United States
widens. After 2014, the fallout of the annexation of Crimea and of the Donbass War – that
is, the rupture with Europe – contributed to reinforcing the partnership between Moscow
and Beijing. More recently, the Covid-19 pandemic gave the impression of a “united front”
in defense of the authoritarian model of crisis management to counter presumably inef-
ficient, even chaotic, liberal democracies, as described by the media of the two countries.
Although specialists have repeatedly emphasized the fragility, or at least the somewhat arti-
ficial and unsustainable nature of this profoundly asymmetrical agreement – the gap having
widened between the two – the fact remains that in the field of influence operations, and
more precisely in the informational sub-field, the two powers are undertaking a clear rap-
prochement.
• 1) Media cooperation. An annual Russia-China Media Forum debuted in 2015,
during which dozens of contracts are signed between media outlets from both coun-
tries. In 2017, Sputnik signed cooperation agreements with Xinhua, the Guangdong
radio and TV channels,83 and the Global Times;84 while Rossia Segodnia (RS, overseeing
RT and Sputnik) partnered with Alibaba Culture Communication.85 In 2018, RS and
80. James Jiann Hua To, Qiaowu: Extra-Territorial Policies for the Overseas Chinese (Leiden: Brill, 2014), 50.
81. Ryan Fedasiuk, “A Different Kind of Army: The Militarization of China’s Internet Trolls,” China Brief, 21:7 (12
Apr. 2021).
82. Milton Leitenberg, “China’s False Allegations of the Use of Biological Weapons by the United States during the
Korean War,” Working Paper, 78, Cold War International History Project (Mar. 2016); Milton Leitenberg, “False Allegations
of U.S. Biological Weapons Use during the Korean War,” in Anne L. Clunan, Peter R. Lavoy, and Susan B. Martin, eds.,
Terrorism, War, or Disease? Unraveling the Use of Biological Weapons (Palo Alto: Stanford University Press, 2008); Wu Zhili,
‘The Bacteriological War of 1952 is a False Alarm’” (Sept. 1997), History and Public Policy Program Digital Archive,
Yanhuang Chunqiu 11 (2013), 36-39.
83. “Sputnik Signs Cooperation Agreements with China’s Xinhua, Guangdong Agencies,” Sputnik (4 Jul. 2017).
84. “Global Times Begins Cooperation with Sputnik,” Global Times (19 Apr. 2017).
85. “Sputnik News Agency, Alibaba Group Sign Memorandum of Strategic Cooperation,” Sputnik (6 Sept. 2017).
634
China Media Group (CMG, controlling CGTN and RCI) signed a strategic coopera-
tion agreement to officially develop common content (documentaries, news reports)
and promote each other’s national content on their respective platforms. They
also set up a platform to release content translated from Russian or Chinese and pro-
duced by media in each countries (www.sinorusfocus.com). In 2019, agreements were
signed between RS and Huawei,86 and again between Sputnik and Xinhua (to share
content in Spanish and Arabic this time).87 An agreement with Roskomnadzor – the
Russian regulatory authority in charge of media and communications – granted a cable
and digital broadcasting license to the Russian version of CGTN, another type of
decision made at this event. At the Russian political level, the vice-minister of Digital
Development and Mass Communications, Alexei Voline, seems to be shepherding the
negotiations.
Besides, several Chinese journalists are invited every year to the Russian Young
Leaders program, “Новое поколение” (New Generation), organized by the agency
Rossotrudnichestvo, in cooperation with Sputnik. These are master classes where RS
employees train individuals to the “Russian methods of international journalism pertain-
ing to media production and social network uses.”88
This rapprochement is motivated by a shared belief in the competitiveness of the inter-
national mediatic field, and in the necessity – for Russian and Chinese outlets – to ally
themselves in the face of Western heavyweights (notably CNN and the BBC) and
offer an “alternative” editorial line. During the state visit of Xi Jinping in Moscow, in July
2017, RT’s editor-in-chief Margarita Simonian intervened in front of both heads of state
at the Kremlin: she endorsed the framework of an “informational war” and asked them
to increase cooperation between Russian and Chinese outlets to ensure “the survival of
our resources […] in the face of the powerful Western mainstream journalism.”89 One
RT employee interviewed by the researcher Maxime Audinet in 2015 even admitted that
several producers and journalist from CCTV came to observe the editorial meth-
ods of the Russian channel and the construction of its pretended “alternative”
editorial line, which is both incisive and very offensive toward the West (during the
Ukrainian crisis in particular).90
In 2020, the Covid-19 pandemic provided another reason to call for a deeper coop-
eration between Chinese and Russian media to form a common front against critics.
For instance, during the 2020 China-Russia Online Media Webinar, which took place
on December 18, 2020, Niu Yibing, the Deputy-Director of the Office of the Central
Cyberspace Affairs Commission (中央网络安全和信息化委员会), called on Russian
and Chinese media to “work together to tell more vivid stories about the fight against
the pandemic, jointly fight against attacks and provocations from Western coun-
tries.”91
86. “Huawei & Russian Media Group Rossiya Segodnya Sign Deal on Strategic Cooperation,” RT (4 Sept. 2019).
87. Janaina Camara da Silveira, “Time for BRICS Media Groups to Strengthen Cooperation,” China Daily (1 Nov.
2019).
88. See: Audinet, A State’s Construction of Soft Power.
89. “Симоньян: Ни одна война в последние годы не начиналась без поддержки прессы” (“Simonian: No
Recent War Has Begun without Support from the Press”), RT Russia (4 Jul. 2017), https://youtu.be/ FX3Me2Yxv1Q.
90. Interview with Maxime Audinet, Paris (Nov. 2020).
91. Ren Qi, “Chinese, Russian Media Have Role in Virus Fight,” China Daily (19 Dec. 2020), https://archive.vn/
lQ19L.
635
2020 China-Russia Online Media Webinar (©Zhu Xingxin/chinadaily.com.cn).92
• 2) Cooperation on social networks. During the 2019 Hong Kong crisis, RT broadcast
a thirty-minute documentary untitled “Hong Kong Unmasked,” which concluded that
the U.S. government had intervened in the crisis through think tanks, NGOs, and state
agencies, including the CIA. The documentary was posted on YouTube on November
29, and viewed more than 100,000 times before being abundantly relayed on Weibo and
other social networks.93
“Hong Kong Unmasked | Exclusive Report,” video published
on the YouTube account of RT America, November 29, 2019.94
That same day, the website RIAFAN.ru, which belongs to the network of troll farms
of the Internet Research Agency, published a particularly biased article on the Hong
Kong opposition that contained many inexactitudes, including fake quotes from Joshua
Wang.95
As a rule, Chinese and Russian (but also Iranian) propaganda websites help
each other, quote each other, and amplify the same anti-Western content in an
92. Source: https://global.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202012/19/WS5fdd3bb7a31024ad0ba9cc21.html.
93. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0CUgy-Hzyfo; Simone McCarthy, “Russian TV Production Echoes
China’s Line on Hong Kong Protests,” South China Morning Post (9 Dec. 2019); Jane Li, “Russia Is Beijing’s Best Ally in
the Disinformation War against Hong Kong,” Quartz (11 Dec. 2019).
94. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0CUgy-Hzyfo&feature=emb_logo.
95. Fatima Tlis, “Russian ‘Troll Farm’ Posts Ersatz Report on Hong Kong Thanksgiving Rally,” Polygraph.info (3
Dec. 2019).
636
apparently “circular” fashion.96 “Since November 2019, three of the top five most
retweeted news outlets (not including China’s state-backed media), were funded by the
Iranian or Russian governments. PressTV, RT, and SputnikNews were the third, fourth,
and fifth most retweeted outlets.”97 “So we saw that in Italy, we saw Russian-linked
social media accounts were amplifying content that was promoting pro-Chinese
narratives. So, tweets, for example, from China’s MFA and the Global Times to Italian
audiences.”98 Russian intelligence services (GRU) may have contributed to amplifying
manipulated information on the coronavirus, more specifically in circulating the Chinese
conspiracy theory on the American origin of the virus.99
• 3) Cooperation in the “fight against disinformation.” In September 2020, the
spokeswoman of the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced that the minister
and his Russian counterpart, Sergei Lavrov, had reached “an important consensus on
the fight against disinformation.” She denounced the countries that, “in the context of
the Covid-19,” were circulating disinformation and invited them “to respect the facts.”
Sources: https://twitter.com/SpokespersonCHN/status/1304445728907952129;
https://twitter.com/mlrchtr/status/1304822970368569345.
Because Russia and China are largely seen, by the rest of the world as two of the largest
producers of disinformation, this announcement provoked many ironic comments. But
for attentive observers of influence operations, it was perceived as an avowed sign of
cooperation in the field, not to “fight” disinformation, but to produce it. This is
also suggested by the Chinese use of narrative materials usually adopted by the Russians.
96. Brandt and Schafer, “Five Things to Know.”
97. Ibid.
98. Gabrielle, “Briefing with Special Envoy.”
99. Julian E. Barnes and David E. Sanger, “Russian Intelligence Agencies Push Disinformation on Pandemic,” The
New York Times (28 Jul. 2020).
637
Thus, after the publication by the Jyllands-Posten of caricatures of the PRC flag, Chinese
Internet users (including the Diba group) mocked the “weakness” of the Danes, who
were only able to resist the German invasion for 4 hours on 9 April 1940, which is a
recurring argument in Russian disinformation campaigns.100 The presence of this “refer-
ence” in Chinese campaign makes it possible to suppose that the two countries practice
transfers of competences.
• 4) The use of common relays. As a consequence of the fact that, as we have seen, the
Party-State no longer hesitates to keep company with the political extremes (→ p. 626), it
frequently draws from the same sources as Moscow. Most of its anti-American relays
are known to be, correlatively, pro-Russian. For example, in order to deny the oppression
of Uyghurs, to discredit the German researcher Adrian Zenz,101 or to deny the Chinese ori-
gin of the coronavirus, Chinese authorities readily rely on Max Blumenthal, an American
journalist, and his site The Grayzone, which are cited by the Chinese press as well as by
the spokespersons of the Foreign Ministry.102-103 An article by Blumenthal published in The
Grayzone on February 18, 2021 was relayed on Twitter by Zhao Lijian, spokesman for the
Ministry of Foreign Affairs, by CGTN, which gave an interview to Blumenthal for the
occasion, and by a number of embassies. Some even reproduced the article in its entirety
on their websites.104 However, Blumenthal, who founded his site one month after a trip to
Moscow for the tenth anniversary of RT, was until then known mainly for being a relay of
Russian propaganda (and an advocate for Bashar al-Assad).105 His site The Grayzone was
also cited by the spokeswoman of the Russian Foreign Ministry.106 He is now one of the
many common sources of Beijing and Moscow.
• 5) Cooperation between security services? We can suppose – without concrete
evidence however – that media outlets and diplomats from both countries are not the
only ones cooperating on influence operations (which they call operations of count-
er-influence) and that their armed forces and intelligences services, for instance, are
also exchanging information, and perhaps “good practices,” when their common objec-
tive is to weaken and divide liberal democracies. It is all the more logical to assume it
that cooperation between intelligence services already exists through the Shanghai
100. Interview with the authors in Denmark (Feb. 2020).
101. On this topic, see: Albert Zhang, Jacob Wallis, and Zoe Meers, Strange bedfellows on Xinjiang: The CCP, fringe media
and US social media platforms, ASPI’s International Cyber Policy Centre (Mar. 2021).
102. At least 252 times in the state media Global Times, CGTN, and Xinhua, and 61 times in the People’s Daily
between December 2019 and February 2021, according to Zhang, Wallis, and Meers (Ibid., 8). See, for example, Liu
Xin, “Not anti-US, but speak for betrayed Americans: The Grayzone founder,” Global Times (25 Apr. 2020), https://
archive.vn/9zuh3; “Founder of The Grayzone disputes conspiracy theories targeting China,” CGTN (27 Apr. 2020),
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uBp3oqTMRjs.
103. See, for example, “April 1, 2020 Press Conference Held by Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Hua Chunying,”
PRC Ministry of Foreign Affairs (1 Apr. 2020), https://archive.vn/zAuDc; “Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Wang
Wenbin’s Regular Press Conference on April 20, 2021,” PRC Ministry of Foreign Affairs (20 Apr. 2021), https://archive.
vn/wH3g8; “What’s False and What’s True on China-related Human Rights Matters,” Office of the Commissioner
of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the PRC in the Hong Kong special administrative region (2 Jul. 2020), https://
archive.vn/UUHb9.
104. Gareth Porter and Max Blumenthal, “US State Department accusation of China ‘genocide’ relied on data
abuse and baseless claims by far-right ideologue,” The Grayzone (18 Feb. 2021), https://archive.vn/w9gKk; Zhao
Lijian’s tweet can be found here: https://twitter.com/zlj517/status/1363852209272676356; the interview is available
here: https://archive.vn/Pk778; see the tweet posted by the Chinese embassy in Brussels, on March 1, 2021: https://
archive.vn/qcxwX.
105. Sam Charles Hamad and Oz Katerji, “Did a Kremlin Pilgrimage cause Alternet blogger’s Damascene conversion?,”
Pulse (22 Aug. 2017).
106. “Briefing by Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Maria Zakharova, Moscow on February 26, 2021,” Ministry of
Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation (26 Feb. 2021), https://archive.vn/YHjLh.
638
Cooperation Organization (tasked with fighting terrorist threats and illegal drug traffick-
ing for instance). What is certain, as the Chinese military publications demonstrate, is
that there is at least a Chinese interest in Russian tactics and, as the Chinese grow more
powerful, probably a reciprocal interest on the Russian side for Chinese experiences.
II. Some Tactical Successes but a Strategic Failure
Machiavelli affirmed that “it is much safer to be feared than to be loved.” Yet, having
read Cicero,107 he immediately added that “a prince must nevertheless make himself feared
in such a way that he will avoid hatred, even if he does not acquire love; since one can very
easily be feared and yet not hated.”108 This is precisely what Beijing has failed to do.
Chinese influence operations have been met with tactical successes. China is able to
constrain private companies, such as airlines or hotel chains, to name their destinations dif-
ferently (“Taipei, China”), or the NBA to apologize for the tweet of a club official. It also
demonstrated an ability to inflict high financial damages (when it blocked the website of
The New York Times in 2012, as a retaliation for an article Chinese authorities did not like,
the group’s stock market value fell by 20% in twenty-four hours). Additionally, from fear of
retributions, many companies refrain from publishing ads in media outlets critical of China,
which impoverishes these outlets. Yet, despite these little victories, the offensive has been a
strategic failure. China’s influence in the world has led to a backlash against it that is both
widespread and growing.
This is not a new trend: China remains its own best enemy in terms of influence. It
can be seen in Africa,109 where China’s image has changed: the honeymoon is over as the
country is increasingly criticized as predatory– its projects not benefiting local populations
– and for being as harmful as colonial powers were. In many places, as in Mali, the popu-
lations are exasperated, not only by the plundering of natural resources, particularly gold,
but also by the working conditions, the illegal entry of Chinese workers and the pollution
it generates. The fact that the leaders, benevolent towards the Chinese presence, generally
do not take into account the complaints of the population on this subject contributes to
the distrust of the elites and the polarization of societies. The BRI also faced numerous
setbacks in the past couple of years, with the same complaints (“Chinese try to take every-
thing they can, without paying attention to the employees or the local companies. They act
as if we were a colony. But we won’t let it happen,” according to people working in the port
of Piraeus, which was bought by Cosco in 2016).110 The BRI is also “running out of steam”
for economic reasons, as Jean-Pierre Cabestan reminds us: “not only because the countries
of the South are finding it increasingly difficult to repay their debts to Chinese state banks,
but also because Beijing needs more financing to support domestic growth.”111 The reflux is
generalized and it had started before the more aggressive turn of the past couple of years.
Now, with its “wolf warrior” diplomacy, its information manipulations and brutal
107. Cicéron, De Officiis, Livre II, VII. The Roman author questioned the use of fear and love by governments. He
asserted that only the second ensured durable power.
108. Machiavelli, The Prince, 58.
109. Luke Patey, “The Chinese Model is Failing Africa,” Financial Times (26 Aug. 2018).
110. Marina Rafenberg, “Vent de fronde antichinois au port du Pirée” (“Winds of Anti-Chinese Revolt in the
Pyraeus Port”), Le Monde (11 Mar. 2021).
111. Jean-Pierre Cabestan, preface to Pierre-Antoine Donnet, Chine, le grand prédateur (Paris: éditions de l’Aube,
2021), 14.
639
methods, Beijing has definitely altered its image. It was a done deal: the CCP could not
become as aggressive as Russia and, at the same time, maintain on the international stage
the ethos of a responsible actor peacefully rising.
This is precisely what some in China, more lucid than others, had feared, especially inside
the CICIR, the think tank of the MSS (the main civilian intelligence agency). In early April
2020, an internal report from the CICIR, presented to Xi Jinping, affirmed that the pan-
demic could provoke the strongest wave of anti-Chinese feelings in the world since
Tian’anmen in 1989, and that it could also feed into the resistance against BRI projects
and invite Washington to increase its financial and military support to Asian allies – increas-
ing the risk of confrontation.112 Meanwhile, Shi Zhan (施展), director of the World Politics
Research Center at China Foreign Affairs University in Beijing warned that “this ‘wolf war-
rior’ diplomacy is unsustainable and risks isolating us.”113
Again, this Chinese fall from grace on the international scene is the latest trend of a down-
ward evolution that started before the pandemic. Several affairs, including the case of
espionage against the African Union headquarters, the “hostage diplomacy” used to coerce
Canada and a growing number of other countries, the revelations about the concentration
camps for Uyghurs (“China Cables”)114 and the management of the Hong Kong crisis have
all contributed to the deterioration of Beijing’s image after Xi Jinping came to power.
However, this evolution is relative: it is among the developed economies, especially
Western states (Europe and North America) and their allies (Japan, South Korea), that China’s
image has deteriorated significantly. It remains correct, and is even improving in developing
countries. This polarization reflects Beijing’s double discourse, which “plays on confron-
tation with the West and seduction of the South,”115 in Africa, Latin America and Asia.
Source: Pew Research Center (5 Oct. 2020), https://pewrsr.ch/3lETMoy.
112. “Internal Chinese Report Warns Beijing Faces Tian’anmen-like Global Backlash over Virus,” Reuters (4 May 2020).
113. Shi, quoted in Frédéric Lemaître and Brice Pedroletti, “Chine: la diplomatie du ‘loup combattant’” (“China:
The ‘Wolf Warrior Diplomacy’”), Le Monde (30 Apr. 2020).
114. Harold Thibault and Brice Pedroletti, “‘China Cables’: révélations sur le fonctionnement des camps
d’internement des Ouïgours” (“‘China Cables:’ Revelations on the Working of Uyghur Internments Camps”), Le
Monde (24 Nov. 2019).
115. Mathieu Duchâtel, quoted in Sébastien Falletti, “Pékin veut conquérir la planète par le Sud” (“Beijing wants to
conquer the planet from the South”), Le Figaro (2 Jun. 2021), 11.
640
This deterioration has been gradual, but it seems to have accelerated since 2017-2018,
especially in Australia (→ p. 544) and Sweden (→ p. 521) as noted previously, but also
in Canada (→ p. 539) and elsewhere in the world. In the United States, the election of
Donald Trump in 2017 catalyzed an ineluctable confrontation which the president dubbed
a new “cold war.” Americans now measure the extent of Chinese influence at home. In
July 2020, the director of the FBI explained that “the FBI is opening a new China-related
counterintelligence case about every 10 hours.”116 Several months later, Newsweek noted that
they had found “600 such groups in the U.S., all in regular touch with and guided by China’s
Communist Party – a larger-scale version of a pattern found in other countries around the
world.”117 In the United Kingdom, the deterioration of the relations – after the “golden
age” lauded by David Cameron during the 2015 visit of Xi Jinping in London118 – acceler-
ated after 2019, first with the crisis in Hong Kong, which was particularly sensitive for the
British as they retroceded the former colony to China in 1997, and later with the sanitary
crisis (London criticized Beijing for its lack of transparency, the diffusion of fake news,
and for the cyberespionage that targeted British laboratories). Also notable was the British
change of mind that led to the exclusion of Huawei from British 5G networks, decided
in July 2020 (the Chinese embassy described it as an “error” for which the British would
“pay the consequences”) – a threat that apparently did not dissuade Germany and Romania
from also banning Huawei from their future 5G networks in April 2021. On February
4, 2021, OFCOM, the British media regulatory agency, cancelled CGTN’s broadcasting
license based on the assessment that CGTN wasn’t the one making the editorial choices for
the channel, but the CCP. This added to the deterioration of the bilateral relation.119 As in
the United States, this changing attitude toward China is a bipartisan issue widely endorsed
by a public opinion increasingly warry of Beijing.
In France as well, awareness, although more discrete, is nevertheless palpable, with a
clear acceleration in the first quarter of 2021 (see below).
The French Awakening
As elsewhere, the image of China has deteriorated in France for the last couple of
years, and especially after the appointment of Ambassador Lu Shaye in Paris (2019), a
“wolf-warrior diplomat” who contributed to making the embassy more aggressive, especially
on social networks, as we saw in this report (→ p. 234). The Covid-19 pandemic aggravated
this tendency because the embassy was on the defensive and multiplied its attacks – such as
an April 2020 article on the “EHPAD nursing staff ” (who had “abandoned,” “deserted” and
“left their pensioners to die from hunger and illnesses”), following which the ambassador was
summoned by the French Minister of Europe and Foreign Affairs (→ p. 238).
Other cases have contributed to mobilizing the French public opinion against Beijing, includ-
ing the November 2019 revelation that Huawei was suing the researcher Valérie Niquet
for libel (→ p. 53); she instantly received many messages of support. The persecution of
Uyghurs, better and better documented, was a powerful accelerator to raise attention on the
topic – especially thanks to researchers who have been mobilizing for years (in a collective
116. Christopher Wray, “The Threat Posed by the Chinese Government and the Chinese Communist Party to the
Economic and National Security of the United States,” FBI (7 Jul. 2020).
117. Didi Kirsten Tatlow, “Exclusive: 600 U.S. Groups Linked to Chinese Communist Party Influence Effort with
Ambition Beyond Election,” Newsweek (26 Oct. 2020).
118. “China, Britain To Benefit from ‘Golden Era’ in Ties – Cameron,” Reuters (18 Oct. 2015).
119. Alex Hern, “Chinese State Broadcaster Loses UK Licence after Ofcom Ruling,” The Guardian (4 Feb. 2021).
641
op-ed in Le Monde in 2018 for instance120), as well as to the commitment of several politicians,
including the French MEP Raphaël Glucksmann, who has incidentally become a target of the
embassy.121 In September 2020, President Macron publicly denounced “unacceptable practic-
es” in Xinjiang for the first time.122 Meanwhile, a growing number of investigative reports
have documented the Chinese power, influence, or espionage – including several issues
and special issues in several French magazines in 2020.123
The negative view of China in France can be measured: a poll conducted in October and
November 2020 showed that “62% of those polled have a negative or very negative view […]
regardless of political affiliation, suggesting that there is a high level of consensus,” which
puts China “the second most negatively-perceived country […] just after North Korea,
and followed by Russia.”124 And several stars have contributed to this awakening, such as the
football player Antoine Griezmann who, in December 2020, announced he had terminated his
contract with Huawei, “due to the strong suspicions that [the company] had contributed to the
development of a “Uyghur Alert” thanks to a facial recognition software.”125
In October 2020, an article by Laurence Defranoux in Libération noted a “change of tone”
in France vis-à-vis Beijing. While, “for a long time, in the face of Beijing’s propaganda and
attempts at censorship and intimidation, the response in France was muted, if not non-exis-
tent, as the fear of economic retaliation was great,” things were visibly beginning to change.126
During the first months of 2021, several elements testified to an acceleration of the French
awakening. On January 21, the Ministry of the Armed Forces published its 2021 Strategic
Update, updating the 2017 Strategic Review: the document mentioned China not only more
times than in 2017, but also more than Russia. It also presented the country first and foremost
as a “strategic rival.”127 Media have also increasingly reported on the growing aggressive-
ness of Beijing. And they have broadened their audience, for instance with the 70-minute
TV documentary “China, the great offensive” broadcast on France 2 on February 25. The
following day, a long investigation was printed in the weekly Le Point on “how China pushes
its pawns at the University,”128 which notably charged Christian Mestre, the former president
of the University of Strasbourg, who subsequently resigned his position as ethics officer of
the Strasbourg Eurometropolis (→ p. 409).129 On March 18, the same Le Point journalist,
Jérémy André, the weekly’s correspondent to Hong Kong, published another investigation on
“[how] Beijing takes advantage of our researchers.”130 These demonstrations had already been
common in Australia, in the United States, in Canada and even in the United Kingdom, as we
showed in this report, but they had never been done with such a level of details in France.
The persecution of Uyghurs is also more insistently denounced from the printed press –
which no longer hesitate to discuss “the hidden genocide” on its cover, such as L’Obs did in
early March131 – to the political class. The Minister of Europe and Foreign Affairs, Jean-
Yves Le Drian, denounced in several official speeches “the unjustifiable practices used
120. “La Chine doit fermer les camps de rééducation politique en région ouïgoure” (“China must close political
re-education camps in Uighur region”), Le Monde (10 Oct. 2018).
121. “Vive altercation entre Raphaël Glucksmann et l’ambassade de Chine au sujet des Ouïghours” (“Lively
Altercation Between Raphaël Glucksmann and the Embassy of China on Uyghurs”), L’Obs (14 Oct. 2020).
122. Laurence Defranoux, “Macron condamne publiquement la répression des Ouïghours” (“Macron
Condemns the Uyghur Repression Publicly”), Libération (8 Sept. 2020).
123. For instance: “Espionnage: l’offensive chinoise” (Espionnage: the Chinese Offensive), Le Figaro Magazine
23613 (17 Jul. 2020); La Chine démasquée, Les dossiers du Canard enchaîné (China Unmasked, the Investigations of Le
Canard enchaîné), 157 (Oct. 2020).
124. Marc Julienne et al., French Public Opinion on China in the Age of COVID-19: Political District Trumps Economic
Opportunities, “Sinophore Borderlands Europe Survey,” Palacky University Olomouc, Czech Republic, IFRI (2020).
125. “Antoine Griezmann rompt son contrat avec Huawei, accusé de participer à la surveillance des Ouïgours”
(“Antoine Griezmann Broke Off his Contract with Huawei, Allegedly Involved in the Surveillance of the Uyghurs”),
Le Monde (10 Dec. 2020).
126. Laurence Defranoux, “Vers la fin de la ‘diplomatie du paillasson’ face à la Chine?,” Libération (15
Oct. 2020).
127. Ministry of the Armed Forces, Actualisation stratégique 2021, https://bit.ly/3aqJnrm. See also, the Twitter threat
written by Antoine Bondaz: https://twitter.com/AntoineBondaz/status/1355140803572752385.
128. Jérémy André, “Comment la Chine pousse ses pions à l’université” (“How China Pushes Its Pawns at the
University”), Le Point, 2532 (25 Feb. 2021), 46-50.
129. “Démission du déontologue de l’Eurométropole de Strasbourg” (“Strasbourg Metropolis Ethics Officer
Resigns”), Les Echos (3 Mar. 2021).
130. Jérémy André, “Comment la Chine profite de nos chercheurs” (“How China Takes Advantage of Our
Scholars”), Le Point, 2535 (18 Mar. 2021), 48-51.
131. “Ouïghours. Le génocide caché” (“Uyghurs: The Hidden Genocide”), L’Obs, 2940 (4-10 Mar. 2021).
642
against Uyghurs, and [a] large-scale institutionalized surveillance and repression system”
(February 16); or “the forced sterilization, the sexual abuses in the camps, the disappearances,
massive detentions, the forced labor, the destruction of the cultural heritage, starting with the
places of worship, and the generalized surveillance aver the population” in Xinjiang. He re-
newed his “insistent call for an impartial, independent and transparent mission of internation-
al experts to be sent to Xinjiang, as soon as possible, supervised by the High Commissioner
for Human Rights” (March 10).132 He also stated that the term “genocide” “deserves to be
discussed and we are ready to consider it.”133
Finally, a new level was reached when, within a few days (March 15-22), it was revealed
that the Embassy of China had pressured senators to cancel a planned visit to Taiwan
and insulted the researcher Antoine Bondaz, who had defended them. The Twitter ac-
count of the embassy called him a “small strike,” a “mad hyena”, and an “ideological troll,”
leading to a unanimous condemnation and a high diplomatic coverage – a symptomatic ep-
isode of the perverse effect (which we labelled the “Bondaz Effect”) of the “wolf-warrior”
diplomacy (→ p. 237). And it did not stop there: at approximately the same moment, Beijing
announced sanctions against 10 Europeans, including the French MEP Raphaël Glucksmann,
in retaliation for sanctions adopted by the EU due to the repression of Uyghurs. For all these
reasons (insults and sanctions), the Minister of Europe and Foreign Affairs summoned the
Chinese ambassador on March 22 but the latter did not come to the meeting, which pro-
voked the anger of Clément Beaune, the secretary of state for European Affairs: “France and
Europe are no doormats. Someone summoned ought to oblige.”134 When the ambassador
finally came to the Quai d’Orsay, the following day, he was received by the director of the
Directorate for Asia and Oceania, Bertrand Lortholary, who told him that “the methods of the
embassy, and the tone of its public communication, are totally unacceptable and cross the line
of what is commonly deemed acceptable for any diplomatic representation, wherever it may
be.”135 This sequence in March 2021 was disastrous for the image of China in France
and contributed to a heightened awareness among politicians and the general public
of the unacceptable practices of Chinese authorities.
A few months later, another sequence drew attention to “Beijing’s offensive against aca-
demic freedom [which] calls for defensive measures,” as diplomat Pierre Buhler explained on
June 10 in an article denouncing “a disturbing policy of Beijing, which constitutes a threat to
higher education and research in democratic countries.”136 Early July, the Senate launched
an information mission on “extra-European state influences on French universities,
the academic world and on their impact,”137 which quickly heard Pierre Buhler and has
since questioned a large number of French and foreign experts, including the authors of this
report.138 The rapporteur is Senator André Gattolin, who is highly invested in the defense
of human rights (having, for example, publicly displayed his support for the demonstrations
in Hong Kong in 2019139), co-chair for France of the Inter-parliamentary alliance on China
(IPAC → p. 252) and an excellent authority on China’s influence strategy in France.140 If the
information mission is interested in several countries, the rapporteur believes that China rep-
resents “80% of the problem.”141 A few weeks later, several articles on “Chinese entryism in
French universities” published in Libération (July 27, 2021) caused the embassy to react in a
132. Speech at the high-level format of the 46th session of the Human Rights Council, Geneva (16 Feb. 2021),
https://bit.ly/3sdCamr; Response of Mr. Jean-Yves Le Drian, minister of Europe and Foreign Affairs, to a question
on the situation of the Uyghurs in China, Sénat (10 Mar. 2021), https://bit.ly/3se4o06-.
133. Jean-Yves Le Drian, interviewed by France Info (26 Mar. 2021).
134. “Chine: la France et l’Europe ‘ne sont pas des paillassons’ déclare Clément Beaune” (“China: France and
Europe are not Doormats,” declared Clément Beaune”), Le Figaro (23 Mar. 2021).
135. Christian Chesnot, “Qui est Lu Shaye, ambassadeur de Chine en France, ‘loup combattant’ de la diplomatie chinoise?”
(“Who Is Lu Shaye, Chinese Ambassador to France, “Wolf-Warrior” of the Chinese Diplomacy?”), FranceInfo (23 Mar. 2021).
136. Pierre Buhler, “L’offensive de Pékin contre les libertés académiques appelle des mesures défensives” (“Beijing’s
offensive against academic freedom calls for defensive measures”) Le Monde, June 10, 2021, 29.
137. See: http://www.senat.fr/commission/missions/influences_etatiques_extra_europeennes.html.
138. On July 13, 2021, for its first plenary hearing, the minutes of which are online: https://www.senat.fr/compte-
rendu-commissions/20210712/miie.html.
139. “Manifestations à Hong Kong, un entretien avec le sénateur André Gattolin” (“Hong Kong protests, an
interview with Senator André Gattolin”), Asia Pacific News, October 10, 2019.
140. Which he notably deciphered in an interview for New Tang Dynasty Television (NTD) broadcast on November
5, 2020 (https://ntdtv.fr/andre-gattolin-senateur-dechiffre-la-strategie-insidieuse-dinfluence-du-pcc-en-france/).
141. Béatrice Bouniol, “Ingérences étrangères à l’université, l’autre menace” (“Foreign interference in the university,
the other threat”), La Croix, July 27, 2021, 9.
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press release accusing, as usual, all critical voices of racism and confirming Godwin’s law (it
said it was “revolted” by these articles “which, in a racist tone, publicly incite anti-Chinese and
Sinophobic sentiment […]. It is astonishing to discover that in the 21st century, some people
still use “Nazi-like” propaganda to advocate this kind of extreme racism in the media”).142
Published on October 5, 2021, the Senate report considers that France is “an important target of
these operations” and “would benefit from being inspired by foreign examples in raising aware-
ness, or even collaborating with certain states to develop appropriate responses”. This report,
which was branded as “a first alert to the whole scientific community,” formulates several
proposals.143
Finally, still in the Senate, the Committee on Foreign Affairs and Defense adopted on September
23, 2021, another information report which bore the question: “Can France contribute to the
European awakening in a Chinese 21st century?”144 The two vice-presidents of the commission
and rapporteurs, Sens. Pascal Allizard and Gisèle Jourda, respectively declared on this occasion
that they “were very struck, four years ago, by the absence of Europe in the face of China’s
global deployment. We must react and give ourselves the diplomatic, legislative and monetary
means to face this power strategy”; “We must be aware of the weight of the Chinese United
Front, which is not a form of influence, but of interference!”145 The French awakening is in fact
part of a European awakening, that the MEP Nathalie Loiseau embodied when she declared
in January 2021 that “the time to be naive is behind us.”146
In concrete terms, this means that, thanks to the vigilance of researchers, journalists, politicians,
diplomats and the general public, France is now a less soft, less easy target for Chinese in-
fluence. Tongues are loosening, self-censorship is becoming less acceptable, pressure is being
denounced, as is complacency. When Livres Hebdo published an article announcing that “The
Frenchman Maxime Vivas receives a prize at the Beijing Book Fair,”147 as if it were neutral
news, a few days later a score of researchers, sinologists, tibetologists, specialists of Uyghurs,
including the president of INALCO Jean-François Huchet, published a tribune in which they
condemned what “seems to be a copy-paste of what can be read in the official organs of the
Chinese Communist Party […]. That Livres Hebdo highlights the prizes awarded by the Chinese
Communist Party is fine, but one would expect from a magazine intended for book professionals
that the reviews bring a critical, detailed and well-argued perspective and are not simple relays of
Chinese propaganda.”148 This example, taken among others, illustrates the fact that the French, or
at least a growing number of them, have finally “woken up” and are making the environment less
permissive to the ambitions of the Party-State. In summary, awareness in France of the risks
posed by Chinese influence has been strong and growing since 2019, with a clear accel-
eration in 2020-2021. It is in this context of a “French awakening,” which now seems
irreversible, that the publication of this present report in September 2021 takes place.
Even Central and Eastern European countries, the traditional spearheads of Beijing
in Europe (→ p. 310), are becoming more reticent: the “17+1” Summit, on February 9,
2021, was actually a “17-6” meeting because, in front of Xi Jinping, six European states lim-
ited their participation to a mere ministerial delegation. The reasons for this loss of appetite
are known: “the Chinese infrastructural promises have disappointed, trade exchanges have
142. “Les échanges culturels entre la Chine et la France ne peuvent souffrir aucune stigmatization” (“Cultural
exchanges between China and France cannot suffer any stigma”), Embassy of the People’s Republic of China in the
French Republic, August 2, 2021, https://archive.vn/Jq57U.
143. Sénat, Rapport d’information fait au nom de la mission d’information sur les influences étatiques extra-
européennes dans le monde universitaire et académique français et leurs incidence (Information report made on behalf
of the information mission on extra-European state influences in the French university and academic world and their
impact), by Sen. André Gattolin, submitted to the French Senate on September 29, 2021.
144. An executive summary is available here: http://www.senat.fr/rap/r20-846/r20-846-syn.pdf.
145. Virginie Robert, “Face à la Chine, les recommandations du Sénat pour l’Europe” (“Facing China, the Senate’s
recommendations for Europe”), Les Échos (23 Sep. 2021), 12
146. Nathalie Loiseau, interviewed on Public Sénat (30 Jan. 2021).
147. Thomas Faidherbe, “Le Français Maxime Vivas reçoit un prix à la Foire du livre de Pékin” (“Frenchman
Maxime Vivas Wins Award at Beijing Book Fair”), Books Weekly (24 Sep. 2021), https://archive.vn/L2Isc.
148. “Livres Hebdo, Maxime Vivas et les fake news” (“Livres Hebdo, Maxime Vivas and fake news”), Mediapart (3
Oct. 2021).
644
been tremendously advantageous to Beijing, and Chinese propaganda, in the early stages
of the Covid-19 pandemic, has seriously tarnished the image of the Middle Kingdom.”149
Some now believe that the ‘”17+1” format – which was meant to be a European door for
Beijing – is becoming a “zombie mechanism” which could progressively unravel. Lithuania
has led the way by withdrawing in March 2021 and calling on the other eleven European
members to do the same.150 In September, the Lithuanian foreign minister explained that
the only format in which the balance of power would be balanced would be a 27+1, which
would require unity among European countries when facing China.151 The bilateral rela-
tionship had deteriorated sharply in July 2021 when Lithuania announced the opening of
a representative office of “Taiwan” (not “Taipei”) in the country. The following month,
Beijing and Vilnius recalled their ambassadors. In September, the Lithuanian National
Cybersecurity Center issued a report concluding that the phones of three Chinese brands
(Xiaomi, Huawei and OnePlus) posed risks, including remote censorship, and the deputy
defense minister declared: “Our recommendation is not to buy new Chinese smartphones
and to get rid of those already acquired as quickly as possible.”152 And the press emphasized
how “small” Lithuania has become a symbol of resistance to the Chinese superpower.153
The Czech Republic is another example: despite Beijing’s strong proxies in that coun-
try, particularly in the political (starting with President Miloš Zeman and several mem-
bers of the government) and economic spheres (PPF → p. 272), the Chinese influence is
increasingly being challenged and denounced, from the resistance of the mayor of Prague
(→ p. 266) to the Senate president’s visit to Taiwan (→ p. 267), to the exclusion of Huawei
and ZTE from 5G-related tenders, and to the publication of reports by the cybersecurity
agency (NUKIB) and the Security and Internal Intelligence Service (BIS), whose regular
alerts contribute to the debate.
One after the other, states reevaluate their relations to China, taking legislative,
economic and political actions to protect themselves from it. Increasingly, states also coor-
dinate their actions to “stand together” against China. Here, March 26, 2021 was rather
exceptional: the diplomats of 26 countries – Canada, but also the United States, France,
Germany, the United Kingdom and others – met in front of the Chinese tribunal where
Michael Kovrig was tried154 – one of the two Canadians victim of the “hostage diplomacy”
(→ p. 411). Meanwhile, the European Union, the United Kingdom, the United States and
Canada sanctioned several Chinese officials involved in the repression against Uyghurs,
in a coordinated effort that sent “the clearest message […] that the international com-
munity will not turn a blind eye to such serious and systematic violations of basic human
rights,” according to the UK Foreign Secretary.155 These were actually the first European
149. Sylvie Kauffmann, “À l’appui de sa stratégie d’influence en Europe, Pékin dispose d’une arme redoubtable:
les vaccins anti-Covid-19” (“To support its Influence Strategy in Europe, Beijing Owns a Redoubtable Weapon: Anti-
Covid-19 Vaccines”), Le Monde (10 Feb. 2021).
150. Eglė Krištopaitytė, “Does Lithuania withdraw from the 17+1 format? The URM sees ‘more purpose
participating in a format with all EU countries,’” 15MIN.LT EN (25 Mar. 2021), https://bit.ly/3sl3or7; Stuart Lau,
“Lithuania pulls out of China’s ‘17+1’ bloc in Eastern Europe,” Politico (21 May 2021).
151. Teddy Ng, “Lithuania urges European Union to cut reliance on China,” South China Morning Post (4 Sep. 2021).
152. Nathalie Guibert, “Se débarrasser de ses smartphones chinois ‘aussi vite que possible’: le message d’alerte
d’un ministre lituanien” (“Getting rid of your Chinese smartphones ‘as quickly as possible’: the warning message of a
Lithuanian minister”), Le Monde (23 Sep. 2021).
153. Andrew Higgins, “Lithuania vs. China: A Baltic Minnow Defies a Rising Superpower,” The New York Times
(30 Sep. 2021).
154. Teng Jingxuan, “Michael Kovrig a subi son procès en Chine” (“Michael Kovrig Was Tried in China”), La Presse
(22 Mar. 2021).
155. “Uighurs: Western countries sanction China over rights absuses, “ BBC (22 Mar. 2021).
645
sanctions in more than thirty years, the last (an embargo on weapons) dating back to
1989 – an additional sign of the degradation of the relations. Furthermore, and again,
on that very day, the Chinese sanctions against four entities and ten European officials
only reinforced the European solidarity against Beijing, at all levels, even among the
civil society. Three days later, the directors of 32 European think tanks and research insti-
tutes, from more than twenty countries, signed a declaration denouncing Chinese sanctions
against European researchers and the most important European research center on China,
MERICS (→ p. 285).156
The result is paradoxical: while one of the Party-State’s strategies is to divide Europe,
its behavior unites Europe against itself, losing the levers (such as the 17+1) it had
hoped to enjoy. In the same way, while one of the strategies of the Party-State is to weaken
the transatlantic relationship, by making European countries keep their distance from the
logic of the Sino-American “cold war” and adopt a third way instead, by its behavior it is
bringing them closer to Washington – all the more so since, with the change of administra-
tion, the U.S. discourse on China is less caricatural, and therefore more acceptable. As Sylvie
Kauffmann summarizes it well, “through clumsiness or hubris, China is pushing the
Europeans into the arms of the Americans.157 It is, in short, self-sabotage.
This movement is not limited to state officials: populations are awakening to the problem
and, in almost all countries, China’s image has never been as bad as it is today.158 China is
facing an “unpopularity problem.”159 A European study, conducted in September and
October 2020, confirmed the largely negative opinions of China, except in Serbia and in
Russia.160 In Australia, “trust in China is at the lowest level ever recorded in the Lowy Institute
Poll, with only 23% of Australians saying they trust China somewhat or a lot ‘to act respon-
sibly in the world’, a 29-point fall since 2018.”161 Even in South Korea, a country that has
maintained close ties to China, the discontents toward China have reached 75%.162
Since 2020 approximately, and particularly after the start of the pandemic during which
China became more aggressive, analysts have tried to explain the “counter-productive
behavior”163 adopted by Beijing. Even if the explanation is known – for the Party-State,
the priority is not to seduce local populations but to ensure its survival and to strengthen
its power in China – the Party-State was probably not prepared for the fallout of such a
behavior. Indeed, its unpopularity has become a problem so pregnant that it could
indirectly weaken the Party, including vis-à-vis the Chinese population. Anyhow, this
is certainly the message that needs to be carried to make Chinese officials more cognizant
to the consequences of their actions.
156. “Statement by European Research Institute Directors,” The Swedish Institute of International Affairs (25
Mar. 2021), https://bit.ly/3sl1kiR.
157. Sylvie Kauffmann, “Par maladresse ou par hubris, la Chine est en train de pousser les Européens dans les bras
des Américains” (“By Clumsiness or Hubris, China is Pushing the Europeans into the Arms of the Americans”), Le
Monde (14 Apr. 2021).
158. Laura Silver, Kat Devlin, and Christine Huang, “Unfavorable Views of China Reach Historic Highs in Many
Countries,” Pew Research Center (6 Oct. 2020).
159. Elisabeth Braw, “China’s Unpopularity Problem,” Politico (6 Nov. 2020).
160. Richard Q. Turcsanyi et al., European Public Opinion on China in the age of COVID-19: Differences and common
Ground Across the Continent, “Sinophore Borderlands Europe Survey,” Palacky University Olomouc, Czech Republic,
IFRI (16 Nov. 2020).
161. Natasha Kassam, Lowy Poll Institute 2020 (Jun. 2020), 4.
162. Peter T. Charles, “Beijing’s “Wolf Warriors” Score Own Goals,” The Interpreter, Lowy Institute (22 Jan. 2021).
163. Small and Jaishankar, “‘For our enemies, we have shotguns.’”
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